Blitz Picks - Week 11
WEEK 1: 33-47, 70.2%
WEEK 2: 39-61, 63.9%
WEEK 3: 52-64, 81.3%
WEEK 4: 43-56, 76.8%
WEEK 5: 50-64, 78.2%
WEEK 6: 33-41, 80.5%
WEEK 7: 47-56, 83.9%
WEEK 8: 49-54, 90.7%
WEEK 9: 47-55, 85.5%
WEEK 10: 46-53, 86.8%
OVERALL: 439-553, 79.4%
The Picks were on point again last week, as the best three weeks of the season have been the last three weeks.
Week 11 will help us usher in the playoffs and clear up the postseason picture.
*The spread is from PigskinPrep.com for 11-man games and Pigskin Prep and sixmanfootball.com for six-man games.
Reach out (email cody@bigcountryblitz.com) if you’d like to sponsor a week of content on bigcountryblitz.com and Big Country Blitz social media!
GAMES OF THE WEEK
Aspermont leads series 14-2
Last meeting: Aspermont 68, Paint Creek 0 in 2017
Aspermont has shut out the Pirates in nine straight meetings dating back to 2002.
Last Paint Creek win in series: 1990
The Hornets are in with a win, while the Pirates need a win and a Rule loss or a win by 20 or more. I expect Paint Creek to keep it close, but Aspermont is the pick to end a five-year playoff skid.
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Aspermont by 6
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Aspermont by 45
THE PICK: Aspermont
Forth Worth Covenant Classical leads series 4-0
Last meeting: FWCC 52, Abilene Christian 6 in 2023
The Panthers are already a playoff team but can improve their seeding with a win and get over the hump against a Cavaliers team they haven’t beaten. However, FWCC is ranked number one in the state in TAPPS Division II and the pick to win it.
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: FWCC by 6
THE SPREAD 6MFB: FWCC by 13
THE PICK: FWCC
Strawn leads series 25-15
Last meeting: Strawn 64, Woodson 0 in 2017
Last Woodson win: 1996
The Cowboys have already clinched their first winning season since 2019, but will have their hands full against the 8th-ranked Greyhounds. Strawn is the choice to earn the district crown.
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Strawn by 31
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Strawn by 45
THE PICK: Strawn
Westbrook leads series 12-8
Last meeting: Westbrook 76, Hermleigh 30 in 2023
The Cardinals have to win to have a realistic shot at the playoffs, which will be hard to do against a Wildcat squad that is doing what they always do: getting better as the season goes on. Hermleigh can hang, but Westbrook is the pick to win.
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Westbrook by 16
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Westbrook by 26
THE PICK: Westbrook
Jonesboro leads series 10-8
Last meeting: Jonesboro 86, May 39 in 2023
The Eagles beat the Tigers twice last season, but May seems to be on a different level this year. The Tigers have won 8 of 9 games this year by mercy rule. I don’t expect a blowout in this one, but May is the pick to get past Jonesboro Friday night.
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: May by 16
THE SPREAD 6MFB: May by 12
THE PICK: May
Cooper leads series 5-0
Last meeting: Cooper 28, Palo Duro 21 in 2023
The winner gets into the playoffs; the loser is out. Both teams enter on two-game winning streaks; the pick is for the Cougars to make it three in a row and 18 years in a row in the playoffs.
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Cooper by 4
THE PICK: Cooper
Roscoe leads series 13-5
Last meeting: Roscoe 34, Miles 33 in 2023
The Plowboys fell to Albany last week and hope to bounce back on the road. The Bulldogs have shut out Cross Plains, Hamlin, and Winters over the past three weeks, but Roscoe is the pick to pull off a slight upset on the road.
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Miles by 10
THE PICK: Roscoe
Hamilton leads series 34-33
Last meeting: Hamilton 27, De Leon 20 in 2023
The Bearcats have been just about unstoppable, averaging 55 points per game in district. Hamilton is no slouch either, but De Leon is the pick in what should be a great one.
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: De Leon by 6
THE PICK: De Leon
Jim Ned leads series 1-0
Last meeting: Jim Ned 56, Sweetwater 14 in 2021
The Mustangs can clinch the district title with the win, but the Indians have been playing great of late and won their last three games by a combined 165-6. I expect this one to be decided late and close throughout. Sweetwater is the choice to win.
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Sweetwater by 3
THE PICK: Sweetwater
Stamford leads series 22-12
Last meeting: Hawley 34, Stamford 30 in 2023
Hawley has won six in a row in the series dating back to 2018.
The number one Bulldogs hope to avenge their 2023 loss to the fifth ranked Bearcats. These two have the top scoring defenses in the Big Country and two of the top five offenses in the area as well. The pick is Stamford to defend the home field and win a classic.
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Stamford by 16
THE PICK: Stamford
THE REST OF THE SCHEDULE
Wylie (7-1, 5-0) at Plainview (3-6, 1-4)
Wylie leads series 5-1
Last meeting: Wylie 36, Plainview 34 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Wylie by 20
THE PICK: Wylie
Pecos (3-6, 1-1) at Big Spring (4-5, 1-1)
Big Spring leads series 16-2
Last meeting: Pecos 18, Big Spring 7 in 2019
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Big Spring by 2
THE PICK: Big Spring
Marble Falls (2-7, 0-3) at Brownwood (4-4, 1-2)
Brownwood leads series 2-0
Last meeting: Brownwood 56, Marble Falls 7 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Brownwood by 30
THE PICK: Brownwood
#4 Stephenville (8-1, 3-0) at Burnet (5-4, 1-2)
Stephenville leads series 1-0
Last meeting: Stephenville 56, Burnet 27 in 2012
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Stephenville by 32
THE PICK: Stephenville
Greenwood (8-1, 3-0) at Snyder (1-8, 0-3)
Greenwood leads series 12-8
Last meeting: Greenwood 27, Snyder 23 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Greenwood by 49
THE PICK: Greenwood
#3 Graham (8-1, 4-0) at Eagle Mountain (3-6, 1-3)
First meeting in series
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Graham by 46
THE PICK: Graham
Bridgeport (3-6, 1-3) at Brock (8-1, 3-1)
First meeting in series
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Brock by 53
THE PICK: Brock
Breckenridge (0-9, 0-4) at TLCA San Angelo (0-9, 0-4)
Breckenridge leads series 2-0
Last meeting: Breckenridge 61, TLCA San Angelo 0 in 2021
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Breckenridge by 36
THE PICK: Breckenridge
Comanche (6-3, 3-1) at Clyde (4-5, 2-2)
Comanche leads series 19-16
Last meeting: Clyde 34, Comanche 0 in 2019
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Comanche by 11
THE PICK: Comanche
Merkel (0-9, 0-3) at Coahoma (5-3, 1-2)
Merkel leads series 15-7
Last meeting: Merkel 34, Coahoma 27 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Coahoma by 25
THE PICK: Coahoma
Stanton (5-3, 2-1) at #5 Wall (8-1, 3-0)
Wall leads series 9-3
Last meeting: Stanton 21, Wall 0 in 1995
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Wall by 41
THE PICK: Wall
Clifton (6-3, 3-1) at Brady (7-2, 3-1)
Clifton leads series 1-0
Last meeting: Clifton 39, Brady 19 in 1970
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Brady by 14
THE PICK: Brady
Early (1-8, 0-4) at Dublin (1-8, 1-3)
Series tied 12-12-2
Last meeting: Early 53, Dublin 14 in 2009
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Early by 5
THE PICK: Early
Tolar (8-1, 4-0) at Eastland (4-5, 1-3)
Eastland leads series 2-0
Last meeting: Eastland 35, Tolar 15 in 2017
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Tolar by 33
THE PICK: Tolar
Sonora (4-5, 1-3) at Colorado City (2-7, 0-4)
Sonora leads series 12-9
Last meeting: Sonora 42, Colorado City 21 in 2012
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Sonora by 21
THE PICK: Sonora
Anson (6-3, 2-2) at TLCA Abilene (0-9, 0-4)
First meeting in series
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Anson by 59
THE PICK: Anson
Olney (2-7, 1-3) at Cisco (5-4, 1-3)
Cisco leads series 3-0
Last meeting: Cisco 40, Olney 13 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Cisco by 33
THE PICK: Cisco
Ballinger (4-5, 1-3) at Hico (5-4, 1-3)
First meeting in series
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Ballinger by 3
THE PICK: Ballinger
Bangs (2-7, 0-4) at Coleman (2-7, 2-2)
Coleman leads series 23-17
Last meeting: Coleman 42, Bangs 0 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Coleman by 27
THE PICK: Coleman
#7 Mason (8-1, 4-0) at San Saba (6-3, 3-1)
Mason leads series 12-8
Last meeting: Mason 35, San Saba 28 in 2021
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Mason by 26
THE PICK: Mason
Electra (7-3, 3-2) at Haskell (4-5, 2-3)
Electra leads series 16-8
Last meeting: Haskell 34, Electra 24 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Haskell by 4
THE PICK: Haskell
Hamlin (6-3, 2-2) at # Albany (7-2, 4-0)
Albany leads series 31-18-1
Last meeting: Albany 71, Hamlin 0 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Albany by 36
THE PICK: Albany
Winters (2-7, 0-4) at Cross Plains (3-6, 0-4)
Winters leads series 13-7-1
Last meeting: Cross Plains 51, Winters 28 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Cross Plains by 19
THE PICK: Cross Plains
#1 Mart (8-1, 6-0) at Goldthwaite (5-4, 2-0)
Series tied 5-5
Last meeting: Mart 62, Goldthwaite 3 in 2017
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Mart by 15
THE PICK: Mart
Bryson (5-4, 1-2) at Newcastle (5-4, 2-1)
Newcastle leads series 21-8
Last meeting: Newcastle 60, Bryson 12 in 2021
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Newcastle by 23
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Newcastle by 37
THE PICK: Newcastle
Perrin-Whitt (7-2, 2-1) at Northside (4-5, 0-3)
First meeting in series
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Perrin-Whitt by 37
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Perrin-Whitt by 45
THE PICK: Perrin-Whitt
Ira (6-3, 3-1) at Highland (4-5, 2-2)
Highland leads series 36-28
Last meeting: Ira 46, Highland 42 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Ira by 24
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Ira by 31
THE PICK: Ira
Rotan (3-6, 0-4) at Roby (3-6, 0-4)
Rotan leads series 40-24-4
Last meeting: Roby 46, Rotan 0 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Roby by 6
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Roby by 45
THE PICK: Roby
#1 Gordon (9-0, 3-0) at Gorman (4-5, 2-1)
Gorman leads series 3-2
Last meeting: Gordon 61, Gorman 0 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Gordon by 45
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Gordon by 45
THE PICK: Gordon
Ranger (2-7, 0-3) at Lingleville (1-6, 0-3)
First meeting in series
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Lingleville by 12
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Lingleville by 10
THE PICK: Lingleville
Lometa (6-3, 0-2) at Santa Anna (3-6, 0-2)
Santa Anna leads series 10-5-1
Last meeting: Lometa 43, Santa Anna 20 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Lometa by 28
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Lometa by 45
THE PICK: Lometa
Trent (4-5, 1-2) at Blackwell (3-6, 2-1)
Blackwell leads series 28-16-1
Last meeting: Blackwell 46, Trent 0 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Blackwell by 43
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Blackwell by 45
THE PICK: Blackwell
Olfen (0-6, 0-3) at Bronte (3-6, 2-1)
First meeting in series
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Bronte by 37
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Bronte by 45
THE PICK: Bronte
Harrold (4-4, 2-1) at #5 Benjamin (6-1, 3-0)
Harrold leads series 23-19
Last meeting: Benjamin 69, Harrold 6 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Benjamin by 45
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Benjamin by 45
THE PICK: Benjamin
Lueders-Avoca (0-9, 0-3) at Rule (4-5, 1-2)
Rule leads series 16-8
Last meeting: Rule 70, Lueders-Avoca 22 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Rule by 43
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Rule by 45
THE PICK: Rule
Moran (2-8, 1-2) at Throckmorton (0-10, 0-3)
Moran has won by forfeit
Throckmorton leads series 3-2-1
Last meeting: Moran 1, Throckmorton 0 in 2024
Morgan (2-7, 0-3) at Three Way (8-1, 2-1)
Morgan leads series 2-0
Last meeting: Morgan 45, Three Way 0 in 2019
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Three Way by 45
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Three Way by 45
THE PICK: Three Way
Sidney (3-5, 0-3) at Blanket (7-1-1, 2-1)
Blanket leads series 27-10-1
Last meeting: Sidney 55, Blanket 8 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Blanket by 33
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Blanket by 20
THE PICK: Blanket
Gustine (7-1, 2-1) at #10 Zephyr (8-1, 3-0)
Zephyr leads series 17-7
Last meeting: Zephyr 60, Gustine 6 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Zephyr by 17
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Zephyr by 45
THE PICK: Zephyr
Lohn (5-4, 1-2) at #2 Richland Springs (9-0, 3-0)
Richland Springs leads series 31-7-1
Last meeting: Richland Springs 68, Lohn 0 in 2023
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Richland Springs by 45
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Richland Springs by 45
THE PICK: Richland Springs
Rochelle (4-4, 2-1) at Panther Creek (0-7, 0-3)
Panther Creek leads series 10-6
Last meeting: Panther Creek 55, Rochelle 6 in 2018
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Rochelle by 45
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Rochelle by 45
THE PICK: Rochelle
Calvert (3-4, 2-0) at #6 Cherokee (8-1, 2-)
Calvert leads series 7-0
Last meeting: Calvert 69, Cherokee 44 in 202
THE SPREAD PIGSKIN PREP: Cherokee by 38
THE SPREAD 6MFB: Cherokee by 45
THE PICK: Cherokee
COLLEGE
#15 ACU (6-3, 5-1) AT AUSTIN PEAY (4-5, 3-3)
SATURDAY, 3 P.M.
First meeting in series
The Wildcats now control their own destiny and can clinch a conference title and bid to the FCS playoffs if they can win it. It starts at Austin Peay Saturday in the first game between the two programs.
Austin Peay is coming off a 31-17 win at North Alabama, who is the only conference team the Wildcats have lost to this season.
THE PICK: ACU
#24 MARY HARDIN-BAYLOR (4-2, 3-1) AT #5 HARDIN-SIMMONS (8-0, 4-0)
SATURDAY, 1 P.M.
UMHB leads series 24-8
The Cowboys go for the season sweep of the Cru and can wrap up their second straight ASC title with a win.
HSU beat UMHB 44-21 in Belton earlier this season.
THE PICK: HSU
EAST TEXAS BAPTIST (4-3, 1-3) AT HOWARD PAYNE (1-6, 0-4)
SATURDAY, 1 P.M.
Series tied 10-10
The Yellow Jackets play their home finale and wrap up their two-game season series with East Texas Baptist. ETBU beat the Jackets 42-33 in Marshall earlier this season.
HPU has not won a conference game yet this season.
ETBU enters on a two-game losing streak to HSU (38-22) and UMHB (27-14) the past two weeks.
MCMURRY (5-3, 5-1) AT LYON (1-7, 0-6)
SATURDAY - 2 P.M.
McMurry leads series 2-0
The War Hawks head to Arkansas, looking to beat Lyon College for a second time this season.
McMurry won 48-6 at home on September 14.
The War Hawks enter the game a half game back of Texas Lutheran in the race for the SCAC title.
THE PICK: MCMURRY
CISCO COLLEGE (3-4, 3-3) AT BLINN (4-4, 2-4)
SATURDAY - 3 P.M.
The Wranglers wrap up the regular season with a huge game at Blinn.
If Cisco can win, they will earn a spot in the SWJCFC playoffs. The Wranglers enter on a three-game losing streak, falling to 3-3 after starting conference play at 3-0.
Blinn fell to Kilgore 22-14 last week. Cisco had the week off.
THE PICK: CISCO COLLEGE